Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000293 0.000327 0.000364 0.000407 0.000454 0.000505 0.000564
2025-05-04 0.000247 0.000295 0.000348 0.000414 0.000491 0.000580 0.000689
2025-05-11 0.000213 0.000268 0.000334 0.000418 0.000523 0.000650 0.000814
2025-05-18 0.000184 0.000243 0.000317 0.000416 0.000544 0.000707 0.000927
2025-05-25 0.000164 0.000226 0.000307 0.000421 0.000574 0.000776 0.001060
2025-06-01 0.000145 0.000208 0.000293 0.000417 0.000590 0.000827 0.001173
2025-06-08 0.000130 0.000194 0.000282 0.000415 0.000610 0.000882 0.001294
2025-06-15 0.000118 0.000182 0.000274 0.000417 0.000631 0.000942 0.001426
2025-06-22 0.000107 0.000170 0.000264 0.000414 0.000645 0.000991 0.001544
2025-06-29 0.000100 0.000163 0.000261 0.000420 0.000673 0.001061 0.001700
2025-07-06 0.000093 0.000156 0.000255 0.000422 0.000695 0.001123 0.001846
2025-07-13 0.000085 0.000147 0.000246 0.000418 0.000706 0.001169 0.001968
2025-07-20 0.000081 0.000143 0.000247 0.000431 0.000746 0.001265 0.002185
2025-07-27 0.000076 0.000138 0.000244 0.000437 0.000775 0.001347 0.002382
2025-08-03 0.000071 0.000133 0.000241 0.000441 0.000802 0.001426 0.002581
2025-08-10 0.000065 0.000126 0.000233 0.000437 0.000815 0.001481 0.002743
2025-08-17 0.000062 0.000121 0.000230 0.000442 0.000843 0.001564 0.002962
2025-08-24 0.000057 0.000115 0.000223 0.000438 0.000853 0.001617 0.003126
2025-08-31 0.000053 0.000110 0.000218 0.000437 0.000869 0.001680 0.003316
2025-09-07 0.000050 0.000106 0.000214 0.000438 0.000890 0.001754 0.003530
2025-09-14 0.000047 0.000101 0.000208 0.000435 0.000901 0.001810 0.003714
2025-09-21 0.000045 0.000098 0.000207 0.000441 0.000932 0.001907 0.003985
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000095 0.000204 0.000444 0.000954 0.001988 0.004231